Helping businesses calculate the risk of COVID infections based on time, place and preventative measures.

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View and download our worldwide active case and infection rate Data Array XLS, with projections through February 15.

The worksheet also includes customizable color-coding features that will help you identify geographical danger zones and safe zones.

The Data Array will be updated with fresh MIT COVID Analytics projections every Monday.


About COVID Risk Navigator

With the rolling surges of COVID-19 cases across America this spring and summer, two facts have become abundantly clear—1) significant risk of contracting the virus will persist for many more months, and 2) those risks will vary by time and place. At the same time, businesses and institutions are trying to make decisions on when, where and how to resume activities. To ease that burden, hosted-event organizer AE Ventures is teaming with risk industry experts, Intelligent Management Trends and Risk Analysis Services, to develop the COVID Risk Navigator.

A fundamental contributor to the Navigator is the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s (MIT) COVID Analytics project led by Prof. Dimitris Bertsimas, and its predictions team of Michael Lingzhi Li, Hamza Tazi Bouardi, and Omar Skali Lami. COVID Analytics is researching, maintaining and publishing daily COVID projections by geographical location around the world. The data set is broken down by state in the US and province in Canada and Australia as well as by country and continent.

Most important for purposes of the Navigator, COVID Analytics is tracking and projecting Active Cases—an estimate of the number of people that are infected with the virus on a given day. With Active Case data for specific locations and times, we can build risk models that start with the rate of infection in the population one is likely to encounter, then factor in risk prevention tactics like screening, mask-wearing, social distancing, amount of time spent engaging and airflows to calculate total risk. Michael Lingzhi Li further advised the effort on risk categorization and quantification.

A prototype of the Navigator was developed as AE Ventures searched for metrics to evaluate the risk of participating in its B2B events and to analyze cost-benefit ratios on various protective measures. As AE socialized this information with event industry leaders and its customers in the technology and housing industries, it saw the broader application for any business planning to undertake activity in a specific location or drawing participation from specific locations. For example, a company performing field project work like construction or pursuing sales via field representatives could benefit, as could any organization considering the risk of re-opening offices, stores, schools, large venues and more.

The Navigator features:

Geographical Data Array

Organizes COVID Analytics active case data, population and infection rates into standard US and international region breakdowns, with color-coding to illuminate risk levels in specific geographies based on mask-wearing and number of encounters.

About AE Ventures

AE Ventures provides dynamic B2B engagement at the intersection of technology and construction. Our unique hosted style TecHome Builder Summits drive extraordinary progress for residential builders, developers and property managers. And we complement those event experiences with original research and guides that accelerate technology implementation and improve ROI. ● 508-618-4226

About Intelligent Management Trends

Intelligent Management Trends is an independent research and advisory firm that analyzes the management trends and vendors enabling timely, optimized, risk-informed enterprise decision making. IMT published research includes complimentary industry Perspectives and premium Reports addressing management best practices, vendor capabilities, and market forecasts. ● 508-887-0043

About Risk Analysis Services

Risk Analysis Services (RAS) helps clients save money and improve operations through deep-dive quantitative risk analysis and advanced statistical trending. This helps give clients a competitive edge in risk and claims cost reductions. Clients have reported 15% or more savings in insurer costs, plus help with regulators and Boards of Directors. RAS's proprietary RiskMap® tools and technology were created by Alan Cantor. It transforms significant amounts of data into effective analyses, producing a clearer and more informed picture of risks. ● 310-922-1994

About Massachusetts Institute of Technology COVID Analytics

COVID Analytics are produced by a group of researchers from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Operations Research Center, led by Professor Dimitris Bertsimas. They aim to quickly develop and deliver tools to combat the spread of COVID-19. This work represents a collaborative effort with multiple hospitals which provide data and support throughout the model creation process.  COVID Analytics features a wide variety of information and advice including epidemiological predictions of COVID-19 infections, hospital stays, and mortalities. ● Michael Lingzhi Li ●

PLEASE NOTE: MIT does NOT officially endorse the COVID Risk Navigator.

The COVID-19 outbreak is an ongoing, rapidly developing situation. We encourage all viewers to monitor publicly available information and to always follow federal, state and local health organization guidance and government mandates. This information is intended to help businesses get high level insights into relative risk. The information provided is obtained from publicly available sources. The information may vary and will be updated depending upon current situations. As there is yet much to learn about COVID-19, please be advised that COVID Risk Navigator gives no assurances as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided. Further, the information contained herein is provided for general informational purposes only and should not be construed as legal or medical advice on any subject matter.